Archive for the Arizona Category

FUGITIVE FILE

Posted in Americas Most Wanted, Arizona, Child Rapist, crime, criminal, Day laborer, deportation, Fugitives, Hispanic, Illegal Alien, illegal immigration, Justice, KY, Latin America, Latino, Law Enforcement, lawbreakers, McCain, Mexico, Mississippi, New York, Open Border, Owensboro, Phoenix, Robert Santos, Roberto Santos, SEX, Sexual Abuse, Sodomy, Spanish, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, Uncategorized, Willie Santos on February 5, 2008 by americanchaos

William “Willie” Roberto Santos

(Willie Santos, Robert Santos, Roberto Santos)

 

William Santos

WANTED FOR Sodomy – 10 counts, Owensboro, KY

POSSIBLE LOCATIONS

Mississippi

New York
The image “https://i2.wp.com/www.amw.com/images/icon_report_tip.gif” cannot be displayed, because it contains errors.
>
Santos Was Trusted Member Of The Community; Illegal Alien; Alleged Child Rapist

William Roberto Santos worked as a laborer at a horse farm in Owensboro, Ky. Nobody seemed to know much about his past, but his behavior and personality quickly made him a trusted member of the community.He attended church regularly, and parents felt safe leaving their young children in his care. One child in particular, who spent time at the same horse farm where Santos worked, spent four or five nights at a time at Santos’ apartment.

Nobody had any reason to suspect anything sinister was going on until the 11-year-old boy confessed to his mother that something bad had happened, and that it had happened many times.

Even though Santos is in the U.S. illegally, cops do not think that he would return to his native home of Mexico.

An Abuse Of Trust

>
By the time the 11-year-old told his mother what had happened and the police were contacted, Santos was already gone. Through interviews with the victim and his mother, the police were able to establish that Santos had sodomized the boy multiple times over the course of two weeks.

Santos was also implicated by his gay lover, who went to the police and told them that Santos had confided to him what he had done to the little boy. Unfortunately, Santos did not tell his lover where he planned on going when he disappeared from Kentucky.

When the police went to Santos’ apartment, they found he had left in a hurry, leaving most of his belongings behind. But nothing was able to point them towards where Santos was now.

Where Is He Now?

>
Police believe it is possible that Santos may be trying to find work at a horse farm in New York, perhaps near a racetrack. Cops say Santos used to talk about wanting to work near a large racetrack in New York, and think he might be trying to fulfill this wish.

There have been sightings of Santos in Phoenix and New Albany, Miss., but once again, there was nothing to lead police to his current location. Even though Santos is in the U.S. illegally, cops do not think that he would return to his native home of Mexico. Police say he has been ostracized by his family members in Mexico because of something he did to a young boy there before he moved to the United States.

PROFILE

>

Aliases Willie Santos, Robert Santos, Roberto Santos, Willie
Sex Male
Race Hispanic
Age Now 28
Height 5’9″
Weight 175 lbs.
Hair (Color, Description, Facial Hair)
  • Brown
  • Eyes (Color and Correction)
  • Brown
  • The image “https://i2.wp.com/www.amw.com/images/icon_report_tip.gif” cannot be displayed, because it contains errors.

    http://www.amw.com/fugitives/brief.cfm?id=47191

    Advertisements

    US Congress Supporting of Terrorist groups !

    Posted in 2008, 2nd amendment, ACLU, Adopt-A-Highway, Ahmadinejad, al-Qaeda, America, American, American Citizens, American Freedom Riders, American people, American taxpayers, Americas Most Wanted, Amnesty, Anarchy, Anchor Babies, Andrew Thomas, Anti American, Antonio Bustamante, Arizona, Arizona-Mexico border, assault rifle, assaults, Assimilate, Austin Texas, Aztec, Aztlan, Barack Obama, beheadings, benefits, Bible, birth certificate, birthright, Border Angels, border crossing, Border Patrol, Border Security, Borderless Continent, boycott, Business, Business Licenses, California, Campaign, Canada, Catholic, Cemex, Central Texas, Chavez, Chertoff, Christians, Clinton, Congress, Constitution, consumers, contraband, coyotes, crime, criminal, criminals, Dallas County, Death, debate, defense record, Democratic, Democrats, Department of Transportation, deportation, Deported, DHS, disease, diseases, Documentary, Donald Rumsfeld, driver's license, Driving, drug dealer, drug smuggling, drug trade, drugs, Dual Citizen, Duncan Hunter, Dunce, east coast, Economists, Economy, Edwards, El Paso, El Salvador, elections, Ellis Island, employer sanctions, Employment, English language, false religion, Federal Debt, federal facilities, Federal Reserve, felony, Film, First Amendment, Flor Crisostomo, Florida, fortress, Free Trade Alliance, Freedom, Frosty Wooldridge, Fugitives, Funny, Gang, Gang Activity, GASTON CO, General David Petreaus’s, George Bush, George Soros, Georgia, Glenn Beck, Globalization, God, GOP, governor, green cards, Groundhog Day, GROWTH, Guantanamo Bay, Guest Workers, Guiliani, gun control, Hate, Heritage Foundation, Hezbollah, Hillary Clinton, Hispanic, History, home invasions, Homeland Security, homicide, housing, human rights, human smuggling, Humor, ICE, identification requirements, Illegal, Illegal Alien, illegal aliens, illegal immigration, immigration, income tax, Incursions, Indiana, INDIANAPOLIS, indigenous, Invaders, Islamic radicalism, Jackpot babies, Jail, Janet Napolitano, Jim Gilchrist, jobs, John McCain, Johnny Sutton, Juan Hernandez, judgment, Justice, Kennedy, kidnappings, killings, KKK, La Raza, Latin America, Latin American, Latino, Latino Arrogance, Law, Law Enforcement, lawbreakers, legal, legal documents, leprosy, Liberal, Liberty, license, Lieberman, Life, Local Governments, Lou Dobbs, Luis Aguilar, LULAC, Mara Salvatrucha, Maricopa County, Maverick, Mayor, McCain, MEChA, Media, medical care, Mestizos, Mexican, Mexican government, Mexican military, Mexican Police, Mexican Reconquista, Mexico, Michael Chertoff, Middle-eastern, migrants, Mike Huckabee, military, Minutemen, Mississippi, Money, MS-13, Multiculturalist, Murder, NAFTA, North American Union, Northern Border, NY, OBAMA, Oklahoma, Open Border, passport, Patrick J. Buchanan, Patriotism, pharmaceutical research, Phoenix, Pima County, Politics, population growth, POW, President, President Bush, pro-amnesty, protest, racism, Racist, Ramos and Compean, rape, Rape Trees, real estate, Recession, Reconquista, Religious leaders, Republican, Revolution, Rio Grande, Romney, Ron Paul, Ronald Reagan, San Diego, schools, Secure Fence Act of 2006, Senators, SEX, sex trafficking, Sexual Abuse, Sheriff Joe Arpaio, smugglers, social services, South American, Southern Arizona, Southwest, Sovereignty, Spanish, spending, state law, stolen cars, Suffolk County, Super Tuesday, syphilis, Tancredo, tax dollars, Taxes, Taxpayer, taxpayers, Ted Kennedy, terrorism, Terrorist, terrorists, Texas, The 14th Amendment, tickets, Tom Tancredo, trash, Travis County, Treasonous, Treaty of Guadalupe Hidalgo, trespassers, tuberculosis, Tucson, U. S. Department of Homeland Security, U.S. border, U.S. citizen, U.S. Government, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, U.S.-Mexico border, United Nations, United States, Unsecured Borders, US Border Patrol, US Constitution, Venezuela, veterans, vigilantes, violence, Virginia, Voters, War, warrants, welfare, White House, wildlife, Yuma on February 4, 2008 by americanchaos


    Why are we funding the VERY PEOPLE whom will and are trying to DESTROY US ?


    1. La RAZA


    2. MECha


    3. Al Quida Jihad groups


    4. Kair ( Islam group )



    LA RAZA WILL GET $5 MILLION IN 2008 and $10 MILLION FOR EVERY YEAR AFTER THAT ! ! ! Hope Fund Act of 2007 (H.R. 1999) To authorize appropriations for assistance for the National Council of La Raza and the Raza Development Fund.

    The Secretary of Housing and Urban Development shall, to the extent amounts are made available pursuant to subsection (b), make a grant to the National Council of La Raza for the purpose of providing technical and financial assistance to local non-profit organizations to undertake community development and affordable housing projects and programs serving low-and moderate-income households, particularly through organizations located in neighborhoods with substantial populations of income-disadvantaged households of Hispanic origin.

    Assistance provided by the Secretary under this section may be used by the National Council of La Raza or the Raza Development Fund to–Provide technical and financial assistance for site acquisition and development, construction financing, and short-and long-term financing for housing, community facilities, and economic development; leverage capital from private entities, including private financial institutions, insurance companies, and private philanthropic organizations; provide technical assistance, training, support, and advice to develop the management, financial, and administrative capabilities of housing development organizations serving low-income households, including Hispanic households; And conduct such other activities as may be determined by the Secretary and the National Council of La Raza.( And this means ANY THING THEY WANT TO USE IT FOR!)

    Authorization of Appropriations- There is authorized to be appropriated for grants under this section– $5,000,000 for fiscal year 2008; and $10,000,000 for each fiscal year thereafter. 4/23/2007: Referred to the House Committee on Financial Services. TELL THEM TO VOTE “NO” ON HOUSE RESOLUTION (HR) 1999!
    HERE IS A TOLL-FREE NUMBER: 1(866)340-9281

    Click Here
    http://www.washingtonwatch.com/bills/show/110_HR_1999.html

    Secretive La Raza Studies Are Being Taught In Arizona Public Schools

    Posted in America, Amnesty, Anti American, Arizona, Aztec, Aztlan, Hate, Hispanic, illegal aliens, illegal immigration, John McCain, Juan Hernandez, La Raza, Latino Arrogance, Mexican Reconquista, Open Border, pro-amnesty, racism, Racist, Reconquista, Sovereignty, The Hope Fund Act, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, U.S.-Mexico border, United States on February 4, 2008 by americanchaos

    Just Another Racist Hate Group

    http://arizonaresistance.net/?p=179


    Commentary: Why doesn’t this surprise us. The most amazing thing in this story is how these La Raza racist goons insist that Hispanics are victims of a system that is rigged against them. HA! That’s outrageous! The American system and especially the Arizona system bend over backwards to cater to and accommodate Hispanics. Equal Opportunity Programs are needed for caucasian Americans these days.

    If a racist organization like La Raza is not only allowed but encouraged to promote it’s twisted Hispanic Nationalist agenda and funded to the tune of 10 million dollars a year by the United States government. (Soon to be 20 million dollars a year FOREVER if HR-1999 a.k.a. The Hope Fund Act of 2007 becomes law.) If the U.S. Government is funding a racist Hispanic Nationalist group like La Raza, why not a Black Nationalist group like The New Black Panthers or a White Nationalist group like the KKK? We have our own suspicions as to why. We wrote about it here back in September.

    Whatever the reasoning may be and how it might be justified doesn’t change the fact that Arizona taxpayers are paying for the indoctrination of the future subversives that will do all they can to destroy what’s pitifully left of America.

    The curriculum can be read here.

    Secretive raza studies in Tucson district need close look

    Jan. 20, 2008 12:00 AM

    They don’t teach much about history these days in public schools. But in some school districts, like the Tucson Unified School District, they do emphasize a certain sort of history.

    It’s a history program that its critics, some of whom with firsthand knowledge of how it is taught, contend often dwells on bitterness and exclusion. On oppression and unfairness. And on a sort of tribalism that often teaches that the American system is rigged against Hispanics and, likely, other minorities.

    And one other thing. It’s a history program whose zealous advocates object to “outsiders” knowing much about it. You get your knuckles rapped hard in Tucson just for asking questions about what this program is all about.

    In November, state Superintendent of Public Instruction Tom Horne asked officials at TUSD for information about its ethnic-studies program, an elective curriculum that, according to its director, serves about 1,700 students daily in TUSD high schools and middle schools.

    Horne is no fan of minority-studies programs. As a school-board member in Paradise Valley some years ago, he helped block a women’s-studies program there. Of ethnic-studies programs specifically, Horne said they “promote ethnic chauvinism.”

    “They’re against all that America stands for,” he told me.

    So, is that clear enough? Horne dislikes public-school programs that promote grievance and separation.

    But when Horne asked the Tucson district in November for information about the program, he wasn’t looking to shut it down. He wanted to know about it. He wanted to have a look at the prescribed reading materials, the teacher manuals and the course syllabi. He wanted to know what the program, also known as raza studies, was all about. And he asked the district to forward the information to him.

    Now, whatever one thinks of Tom Horne – and, heaven knows, he has his critics – he is the elected superintendent of public education in Arizona. In the hierarchy of pubic education, that may not mean he can dictate to school districts what their various elective programs can or cannot include. Those decisions usually are left to school districts. Like TUSD.

    But is it unreasonable that the state superintendent of public instruction know about those programs? It strikes me that a lot of people would think Horne remiss if he didn’t know what public schools are teaching their students.

    But in Tucson, Horne was told, quite explicitly, to “butt out.” He was told it was none of his business what raza-studies teachers were imparting to 1,700 public-school students every school day.

    About a week after Horne made his request – and well before the district complied with it – the super’s Freedom of Information Act request became a Tucson news story.

    The local newspapers loosed a full-throated declaration that Horne has no business knowing anything about the Mexican-American/Raza Studies Department, the program’s official title.

    Said one Tucson newspaper in an editorial published Nov. 26: “Memo to Tom Horne: Butt out.”

    Said another local paper, also in an editorial: “Horne has overstepped by asking for information about the (TUSD’s) ethnic-studies programs.”

    Overstepped by . . . asking for information?

    Now, I’ve known a lot of political buttinskies in my time. Such people, generally, are busybodies who have no particular mandate regarding the subject that obsesses them. Nor any special insight into it. How the state superintendent of public instruction qualifies as a buttinsky regarding the curricula of an Arizona public school district mystifies me.

    The district and its media allies are confusing, perhaps intentionally, knowledge with control. They point out, correctly, that the district is governed by its own elected board and that Horne has no authority to dictate what elective programs it offers. What Horne does have is a bully pulpit. And it is that pulpit which so terrifies the ethnic-studies advocates.

    One of the editorials noted that the raza-studies program is “clearly what TUSD’s kids, parents and educators want.” Is it? How can anything about the program be “clear” if the district is so secretive about the content and delivery of its program that it resents the state superintendent knowing about it?

    Since Horne’s request made Tucson headlines, a number of people with firsthand knowledge of the district’s program have stepped forward.

    In an op-ed published in the Arizona Daily Star on Dec. 5, Horne noted one of them, an English teacher at Tucson’s Cholla High School, who, according to Horne, was denigrated as “the White man’s agent” when he dared to criticize elements of the raza studies. Very academic and supportive program, this one.

    There are others who have stepped forward to say the things that TUSD and its allies would rather not be said. I’ll write about them soon.

    Reach the author at doug.maceachern@arizonarepublic.com or at 602-444-8883.

    http://arizonaresistance.net/?p=179

    Stop Funding for Illegal Immigrant Tuition

    Posted in 2008, 2nd amendment, ACLU, Adopt-A-Highway, Ahmadinejad, al-Qaeda, America, American, American Citizens, American Freedom Riders, American people, American taxpayers, Americas Most Wanted, Amnesty, Anarchy, Anchor Babies, Andrew Thomas, Anti American, Antonio Bustamante, Arizona, Arizona-Mexico border, assault rifle, assaults, Assimilate, Austin Texas, Aztec, Aztlan, Barack Obama, beheadings, benefits, Bible, birth certificate, birthright, Border Angels, border crossing, Border Patrol, Border Security, Borderless Continent, boycott, Business, Business Licenses, California, Campaign, Canada, Catholic, Cemex, Central Texas, Chavez, Chertoff, Christians, Clinton, Congress, Constitution, consumers, contraband, coyotes, crime, criminal, criminals, Dallas County, Death, debate, defense record, Democratic, Democrats, Department of Transportation, deportation, Deported, DHS, disease, diseases, Documentary, Donald Rumsfeld, driver's license, Driving, drug dealer, drug smuggling, drug trade, drugs, Dual Citizen, Duncan Hunter, Dunce, east coast, Economists, Economy, Edwards, El Paso, El Salvador, elections, Ellis Island, employer sanctions, Employment, English language, false religion, Federal Debt, federal facilities, Federal Reserve, felony, Film, First Amendment, Flor Crisostomo, Florida, fortress, Free Trade Alliance, Freedom, Frosty Wooldridge, Fugitives, Funny, Gang, Gang Activity, GASTON CO, General David Petreaus’s, George Bush, George Soros, Georgia, Glenn Beck, Globalization, God, GOP, governor, green cards, Groundhog Day, GROWTH, Guantanamo Bay, Guest Workers, Guiliani, gun control, Hate, Heritage Foundation, Hezbollah, Hillary Clinton, Hispanic, History, home invasions, Homeland Security, homicide, housing, human rights, human smuggling, Humor, ICE, identification requirements, Illegal, Illegal Alien, illegal aliens, illegal immigration, immigration, income tax, Incursions, Indiana, INDIANAPOLIS, indigenous, Invaders, Islamic radicalism, Jackpot babies, Jail, Janet Napolitano, Jim Gilchrist, jobs, John McCain, Johnny Sutton, Juan Hernandez, judgment, Justice, Kennedy, kidnappings, killings, KKK, La Raza, Latin America, Latin American, Latino, Latino Arrogance, Law, Law Enforcement, lawbreakers, legal, legal documents, leprosy, Liberal, Liberty, license, Lieberman, Life, Local Governments, Lou Dobbs, Luis Aguilar, LULAC, Mara Salvatrucha, Maricopa County, Maverick, Mayor, McCain, MEChA, Media, medical care, Mestizos, Mexican, Mexican government, Mexican military, Mexican Police, Mexican Reconquista, Mexico, Michael Chertoff, Middle-eastern, migrants, Mike Huckabee, military, Minutemen, Mississippi, Money, MS-13, Multiculturalist, Murder, NAFTA, North American Union, Northern Border, NY, OBAMA, Oklahoma, Open Border, passport, Patrick J. Buchanan, Patriotism, pharmaceutical research, Phoenix, Pima County, Politics, population growth, POW, President, President Bush, pro-amnesty, protest, racism, Racist, Ramos and Compean, rape, Rape Trees, real estate, Recession, Reconquista, Religious leaders, Republican, Revolution, Rio Grande, Romney, Ron Paul, Ronald Reagan, San Diego, schools, Secure Fence Act of 2006, Senators, SEX, sex trafficking, Sexual Abuse, Sheriff Joe Arpaio, smugglers, social services, South American, Southern Arizona, Southwest, Sovereignty, Spanish, spending, state law, stolen cars, Suffolk County, Super Tuesday, syphilis, Tancredo, tax dollars, Taxes, Taxpayer, taxpayers, Ted Kennedy, terrorism, Terrorist, terrorists, Texas, The 14th Amendment, tickets, Tom Tancredo, trash, Travis County, Treasonous, Treaty of Guadalupe Hidalgo, trespassers, tuberculosis, Tucson, U. S. Department of Homeland Security, U.S. border, U.S. citizen, U.S. Government, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, U.S.-Mexico border, Uncategorized, United Nations, United States, Unsecured Borders, US Border Patrol, US Constitution, Venezuela, veterans, vigilantes, violence, Virginia, Voters, War, warrants, welfare, White House, wildlife, Yuma on February 4, 2008 by americanchaos

    Petition: There is a movement in government to give money to illegal immigrants’ college education. However, there are many U.S. Citizens who can not afford college. Keep our tax money for U.S. citizens.

    Sign this Petition click here

    Arizona Guv: Mac’s Border Fix Won’t Work

    Posted in 2008, Amnesty, Arizona, Arizona-Mexico border, Border Security, Democrats, deportation, elections, GOP, governor, identification requirements, illegal aliens, illegal immigration, Janet Napolitano, John McCain, Juan Hernandez, Law Enforcement, lawbreakers, McCain, OBAMA, Open Border, Politics, President, pro-amnesty, Sovereignty, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, United States, Voters on February 4, 2008 by americanchaos

    Teddy Davis
    ABC News

    Requiring governors of border states to certify that the flow of illegal immigrants has been halted is central to John McCain’s immigration plan.

    The Republican frontrunner says he will not move forward with earned legalization until certification is complete.
    Related Stories

    *
    Arizona Gov. Napolitano Endorses Obama
    *
    Gov. Napolitano Doesn’t Tip Hand

    Top Politics stories

    *
    Tight Race Heads for Showdown
    *
    Clinton, Obama Making Last ‘Super’ Push
    *
    GOP Hopefuls Sprint to Super Tuesday Finish

    Tagged by some conservatives as “the amnesty guy,” McCain has said that enlisting border governors is a necessary step for restoring the public’s confidence that immigration is being brought under control.

    Appearing on Bill O’Reilly’s program in August, McCain pointed to the Democratic governor of his home state of Arizona as key to his proposal. “If the governor of my state, who happens to be a Democrat, would be forced she would certify that the border is secure it would be secure,” said McCain. “And that would give credibility.”

    “You’d have to have all the border state governors certify it,” he added. “I think that would give credibility to our claim in Washington.”

    While border certification has proved to be a useful talking point for McCain, Arizona’s governor has not been consulted by McCain on certification and she said she considers it unworkable.

    “The certification issue sounds good,” said Janet Napolitano, the governor of Arizona, in an interview with ABCNews.com, “but it is a snapshot, not a sustained presence, and a snapshot could vary greatly within any given state within any given year.”

    By relying on governors to certify that the border is secure, McCain is shirking responsibility, Napolitano said.

    “If you make certification the only criteria for whether you then move into overall immigration reform, what I would be leery of is putting up a process by which you never have to take responsibility for overall immigration reform,” she said.

    Napolitano has endorsed Democrat Sen. Barack Obama for president.

    Asked how certification would work if the governor of Arizona thinks it is nothing more than “a snapshot,” McCain ignored the criticism and instead pointed to the ways in which Texas, where he enjoys the endorsement of Gov. Rick Perry, has gotten involved in beefing up border security.

    “Look,” said McCain, in an interview with ABC News’ Ron Claiborne, “if a nation can’t secure its borders then a government can’t carry out its responsibilities to the people, because that’s our first obligation. I believe we can. I obviously believe that once you do that then we have the tamper-proof documents and stuff.”

    “People want the borders secured first,” he continued. “We’ve got to do that for them, so that we can satisfy their major concern which is national security.”

    Mc Amnesty is so full of himself. It is pretty bad when an open border pro illegal governor doesn’t support his plan and believes it unworkable. This is another instance of where a wink and a nod would certify the border as secure and amnesty would be at the front door.

     http://wehategringos.com/whg/?p=2669

    McCain has fences to mend in home state

    Posted in 2008, Arizona, Arizona-Mexico border, Border Security, deportation, GOP, illegal aliens, illegal immigration, Invaders, John McCain, Juan Hernandez, Latino, lawbreakers, McCain, Mexican, Mexican Reconquista, Mexico, Open Border, Politics, POW, pro-amnesty, Reconquista, Republican, Sovereignty, Treasonous, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, Voters on February 4, 2008 by americanchaos
    Some Republicans don’t like the senator’s moderate record on illegal immigration.
    The image “https://i0.wp.com/www.americanpatrol.com/08-FEATURES/080204-DESPISED-WINGNUT-McCAIN/McCainAriz.jpg” cannot be displayed, because it contains errors.

    By Ralph Vartabedian and Nicholas Riccardi

    PHOENIX — — Sen. John McCain’s run for the presidency is gaining momentum across the nation, but the campaign is meeting disapproval in one of the most unlikely places: his home turf in Arizona.

    In a straw poll vote two weeks ago of 721 Republican leaders in Maricopa County, the major population center of the state, a majority ranked McCain as the least acceptable Republican candidate for president.

    The reason, Republicans say, is his record on illegal immigration.

    “We feel betrayed and let down by our senior senator,” said Russell Pearce, a Republican representative in the statehouse who has written a number of tough laws against illegal immigrants. “I will not support a candidate, I don’t care how many medals he has on his chest, when he won’t do the right thing for America.”

    The anger grows out of McCain’s role since at least 2006 as the prime Republican leader of a comprehensive immigration legislation that would have given the estimated 12 million illegal immigrants in the U.S. a path toward citizenship.

    Pearce and many other Republicans here call that path an amnesty that will encourage more illegal immigration and are passing state laws that are at odds with McCain’s view.

    McCain, first elected to the U.S. Senate in 1986, remains popular among Arizona voters and is expected win the primary here Tuesday. Douglas Holtz-Eakin, a senior policy advisor to McCain’s campaign, was not aware of the Maricopa County straw poll but said it was not representative of McCain’s support among rank-and-file conservatives.

    “We believe the senator can not only get the nomination, but all the polls show that he can win the presidency against any of the Democratic candidates,” Holtz-Eakin said.

    Indeed, illegal immigration was a hot issue a year ago but has cooled considerably, and McCain has skillfully avoided the subject as much as possible. A search of about 250 news releases issued by McCain since January found few, if any, direct references to immigration.

    But others are not so quick to count out potential voter sentiment on immigration. Rep. Tom Tancredo (R-Colo.), who dropped out of the Republican presidential race, said McCain’s record on the issue would eventually damage his campaign.

    “It is an incredibly dangerous position for him to be in,” Tancredo said. “McCain has yet to win a primary with a majority of the Republicans voting for him. What happens when it is just him and a Democrat? How many Republicans will not vote, or write in a name?”

    McCain has backed off from the comprehensive immigration reform he wrote with Sen. Edward M. Kennedy (D-Mass.) in 2006, Holtz-Eakin said. Instead, McCain now advocates spending $3 billion to upgrade border security, in addition to billions of dollars already committed, to stop illegal immigration — before deciding how to deal with those already in the country.

    “He doesn’t see a practical way to deport 12 million people,” Holtz-Eakin said. At a Republican debate when immigration came up, McCain said, “We are all God’s children.”

    Randy Pullen, an anti-immigration activist who was elected chairman of Arizona’s Republican Party last year, predicted the party will coalesce around McCain if he wins the nomination. But until then, many leaders are tepid in their support.

    “There are a lot of passionate conservatives who don’t believe in what Sen. McCain believes in,” he said. Pullen is among those who have criticized McCain’s position on immigration, but it goes beyond a single issue. He cited the senator’s vote against President Bush’s tax cuts and backing of campaign finance reform.

    Many Arizona conservatives think illegal immigrants are ruining their state, driving up crime and imposing billions of dollars in service costs. Arizona has an estimated half-million illegal immigrants, representing about 10% of the state’s population, among the highest proportions in the nation.

    The conservatives say it is not necessary to round up illegal immigrants — they argue that many will leave voluntarily if they face greater difficulties and legal obstacles. It is an approach that appears directly opposite of McCain’s sensibilities and views.

    A law written by Pearce would levy big fines on employers who hire illegal immigrants and will close companies that repeatedly violate the law. The bill was passed with overwhelming support in the Legislature, including a big chunk of the Democrats, and signed by Democratic Gov. Janet Napolitano.

    “We don’t need to round up illegal immigrants,” Pearce said. “Just enforce the laws. At traffic stops, if the driver doesn’t have a driver’s license, any identification and doesn’t speak English, it is common sense that something is wrong.”

    The law is under attack by both the business community and civil liberties groups, and legal challenges are preventing it from going until effect until March 1. Still, it may already be having its desired effect. Demand for social services is down, and school enrollments in Latino neighborhoods are unexpectedly dropping. Officials in other states and Mexico have complained that immigrants are streaming out of Arizona, creating demands for services elsewhere.

    Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio, an elected Republican, has told his officers to enforce immigration laws in the course of routine police activity and has coordinated the roles of 160 deputies with the federal Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency.

    “We have made a lot of arrests,” Arpaio said. “We have 10,000 people [illegal immigrants] in jail and in tent cities.”

    Arpaio, a nationally known figure in law enforcement, is an honorary campaign chairman for former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. “I like Mitt’s position on immigration, not the senator’s,” he said.

    Meanwhile, the Arizona Legislature is weighing a law that would compel local police departments to follow Arpaio’s lead, ending what conservatives call “sanctuary” policies that allow illegal immigrants to avoid deportation.

    The anti-immigration sentiment is far from what many moderate Republicans in Arizona and across the nation believe is reasonable.

    “There is a tremendous amount of misinformation out there, and it is intentional,” said George Gascon, chief of the Mesa Police Department and a former senior officer in Los Angeles Police Department.

    Gascon, who describes himself as a longtime Republican, cited a list of academic studies that showed immigrants commit proportionally fewer crimes than native-born Americans. He added that the number of illegal immigrants in state jails was close to their 10% proportion of the general population, despite vastly inflated claims to the contrary.

    The new law is also scaring businesses. Sheridan Bailey, who runs a steel fabrication business in Phoenix, has 100 employees, many of them foreign-born. He worries about his potential vulnerability if even one of them is residing here illegally.

    “It’s a one-guillotine-fits-all solution,” he said.

    Paul Charlton, a former U.S. attorney who is helping raise funds for McCain, is among those who say the senator is not out of sync with Arizonans.

    “The mainstream Repub- lican view in Arizona is close to McCain’s, but the people who speak the loudest have taken control of the agenda,” he said.

    “There are some voters who will not vote for McCain because of his views on immigration,” Charlton added, “but not enough to affect the election.

    http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-na-arizona4feb04,1,4821249,full.story?ctrack=1&cset=true

    Experts: Recession on horizon for Arizona

    Posted in 2008, Arizona, Business, consumers, Economists, Economy, Employment, Federal Reserve, housing, jobs, Money, population growth, real estate, Recession, spending on February 3, 2008 by americanchaos

     Betty Beard
    The Arizona Republic

    More economists now believe Arizona is already in a recession – or will be by the end of the year – because growth in consumer spending is anemic and fewer jobs are being created. A survey of Arizona’s top economic forecasters found that 35 percent believe a recession has begun in the state, and three-fourths believe a recession will be at hand by the end of the year.

    Economists define a recession as two straight quarters of a contracting economy, particularly declining real gross domestic product.

    Other Arizonans might characterize a recession as a time of uncertainty about job prospects, income and growth. Those who are hit by the downturn naturally have less money. But others, less directly affected, may hold off on buying non-essential items, slowing the cycle more.
    advertisement

    Arizona State University’s latest Blue Chip Economic Forecast involves a survey of economists with 16 companies, universities or agencies. None can say with precision the state of the economy today. A recession can be over before it’s officially pronounced; it usually takes months and sometimes more than a year to verify indicators.

    “This is no disaster, but I think it will be the weakest economy we have had since 1980 to 1982,” Scottsdale economist Elliot Pollack said. That was the Valley’s last severe recession, when interest rates climbed to about 18 percent.

    Arizona’s last recession, a relatively mild one in 2001, and some economic data from late 2007 makes spring 2001 look rosy.

    Pollack, who as late as last fall had said that a recession was unlikely, said he changed his mind after seeing the latest retail and job-growth numbers. He now believes a recession is likely in the state this year and maybe into next year.

    Nevertheless, he believes the recession will be mild like the last ones in 2001 and 1990-91, but protracted.

    The Blue Chip forecast says retail sales will be up by less than 1 percent in 2007, compared with a rise of 7.5 percent in 2006. And the Arizona Department of Commerce says that job growth in December weighed in at only 1.3 percent over a year earlier. Economists say it could end up lower by the time it gets its customary revisions this month.

    Symptoms of a recession include a shrinkage in the number of new jobs, as well as in goods produced. Economists say both are being dragged down by the sharp slowdown in housing sales and falling housing prices, because Arizona’s economy has been especially dependent on housing and population growth.

    Marshall Vest, a University of Arizona economist, was one of the earliest pessimists and believes the numbers will show the recession began in the fourth quarter of 2007. Retail sales, he said, peaked a year ago and have been declining every since.

    “I started feeling uneasy a couple of years ago with this asset bubble in real estate. Whenever you have a bubble like that, you have a bad ending,” he said, referring to the rapid rise in home prices that started in 2004.

    The latest Arizona Business Conditions index, released Friday, rose a bit from a reading of 47.7 in December to 49.6 in January but is still way below the 64.3 of July. But anything less than 50 indicates a lack of growth in the near term and indicates a recession is likely in four to six months, said Dawn McLaren, research economist at ASU’s W.P. Carey School of Business.

    The last time the index was below 50 was in September 2002, when the state was coming out of a recession. The index has correctly forecast recessions since it was started 45 years ago.

    A mild case?

    Lee McPheters, an Arizona State University professor and director of the JPMorgan Chase Economic Outlook Center at the university, also believes a recession will be mild for two reasons: the Federal Reserve acted fast to reduce interest rates and because of the proposed federal stimulus package that would give rebates of $300 to $1,200 to most taxpayers.

    Economists worry especially about consumer spending, which accounts for at least two thirds of the country’s economy. Sources of consumer money have been shrinking: first home-equity loans, then credit, the stock market and now maybe the possibility of getting a new or better-paying job.

    Pollack said, “They (consumers) have to pay down debt and increase their savings, and they can’t do that out of their houses or the stock market anymore. They have to do it with real earnings.”

    And unfortunately, if jobs don’t grow, earnings can suffer, said Steve Taddie, an economist with Stellar Capital Management, a Phoenix investment-management firm.

    “The employment data is my single largest concern in the economy, both in Arizona and national,” he said. “It has been a year and a half since people have been able to really use their home equity. Without that, the spending growth has to come from employment.”

    Late 2007 is already looking worse in some respects than spring 2001. Employment growth was 2.3 percent in March 2001, compared with 1.5 percent last November. Construction jobs then were growing at 5.4 percent. In November, they shrank by 7.2 percent.

    Global impact

    Economists also say it was a different world even then and that the state and national economies are now much more intertwined with the global economy.

    The blessing is that American companies have been able to get more money from abroad, and there is more of a market for U.S. exports when the dollar is weak, including aerospace and electronic products from Arizona. Also, it keeps inflation down.

    “You have global production, and you have global competition for jobs, and that has tended over the last couple of years to keep a lid on inflation and wages,” McPheters said. “Just the threat of outsourcing has kept wages from going up as much.”

    But the global links also means the subprime-mortgage problems are causing global problems, and anemic consumer spending could, too.

    “The problem is now, some economists believe, that since the U.S. still accounts for about 20 percent of the world’s output and the consumer accounts for about 70 percent of the U.S. economy, if the consumer cuts back, that is going to have a worldwide effect,” McPheters said.

    “You could get inventory pileups in China and India. So the big question is whether there is a linkage between the U.S. and the rest of the world and whether it goes both ways. Can a difficulty in the United States lead to global recession?”

    https://www.azcentral.com/my/zage.php?referer=http://www.azcentral.com/business/articles/0201biz-recession0203-ON.html